Climate Change

Literature Cited

Ammann, C.M., G.A. Meehl, W.M. Washington, and C.S. Zender, 2003: A monthly and latitudinally varying volcanic forcing dataset in simulations of 20th century climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(12), 1657, doi:10.1029/2003GL016875.

Arendt, M.D., Schwenter, J.A., Witherington B.E., Meylan, A.B., and Saba, V.S. 2013. Historical versus contemporary climate forcing on the annual nesting variability of loggerhead sea turtles in the Northwest Atlantic Ocean. PLoS ONE 8(12): e81097.

Bell, R.J., Richardson, D.E., Hare, J.A., Lynch, P.D., and Fratantoni, P.S. 2015. Disentangling the effects of climate, abundance, and size on the distribution of marine fish: an example based on four stocks from the Northeast US shelf. ICES Journal of Marine Science, doi: 10.1093/icesjms/fsu217.

Brohan, P., et al., 2006: Uncertainty estimates in regional and global observed temperature changes: A new dataset from 1850. J. Geophys. Res., 111, D12106, doi:10.1029/2005JD006548.

Colburn, L.L., et al. 2016. Indicators of climate change and social vulnerability in fishing dependent communities along the Eastern and Gulf Coasts of the United States, Marine Policy, in press, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2016.04.030.

Delworth, T., A. Rosati, W. Anderson, A. Adcroft, V. Balaji, R. Benson, K. Dixon, S. Griffies, H. Lee, R. Pacanowski, G. Vecchi, A. Wittenberg, F. Zeng, and R. Zhang. 2012. Simulated climate and climate change in the GFDL CM2.5 high-resolution coupled climate model. J. Climate. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00316.1.

Dunne J.P., et al. 2012. GFDL's ESM2 global coupled climate-carbon Earth System Models Part I: Physical formulation and baseline simulation characteristics. J Climate. 25: 6646-6665.

Dunne J.P., et al. 2013. GFDL's ESM2 global coupled climate-carbon Earth System Models Part II: Carbon system formulation and baseline simulation characteristics. J Climate. 26: 2247-2267.

Fogarty, M., Incze, L., Wahle, R., Mountain, D., Robinson, A., Pershing, A., Hayhoe, K., Richards, A., Manning, J. 2007. Potential climate change impacts on marine resources of the northeastern United States. Report to Union of Concerned Scientists.

Fogarty, M.J., Incze L, Hayhoe, K., Mountain, D.G., Manning, J. 2008. Potential climate change impacts on Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) off the northeastern USA. Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change 13:453-466

Forster, P., V. Ramaswamy, P. Artaxo, T. Berntsen, R. Betts, D.W. Fahey, J. Haywood, J. Lean, D.C. Lowe, G. Myhre, J. Nganga, R. Prinn, G. Raga, M. Schulz and R. Van Dorland, 2007: Changes in Atmospheric Constituents and in Radiative Forcing. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M.Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

Fröhlich, C., and J. Lean, 2004: Solar radiative output and its variability: Evidence and mechanisms. Astron. Astrophys. Rev., 12, 273-320.

Gaichas, S. K., Link, J. S., and Hare, J. A. 2014. A risk-based approach to evaluating northeast US fish community vulnerability to climate change. ICES Journal of Marine Science, doi: 10.1093/icesjms/fsu048.

Hansen, J., et al., 2001: A closer look at United States and global surface temperature change. J. Geophys. Res., 106, 23947-23963.

Hare J.A., Able, K.W. 2007. Mechanistic links between climate and fisheries along the east coast of the United States: explaining population outbursts of Atlantic croaker (Micropogonias undulatus). Fish Oceanogr 16:31-45.

Hare, J. A., M. A. Alexander, M. J. Fogarty, E. H. Williams, and J. D. Scott. 2010. Forecasting the dynamics of a coastal fishery species using a coupled climate-population model. Ecological Applications 20:452-464.

Hare, J.A., Manderson, J.P., Nye, J.A., Alexander, M.A., Auster, P.J., Borggaard, D.L., Capotondi, A.M., Damon-Randall, K.B., Heupel, E., Mateo, I., O’Brien, L., Richardson, D.E., Stock, C.A., and Biege, S.T. 2012. Cusk (Brosme brosme) and climate change: assessing the threat to a candidate marine fish species under the US Endangered Species Act. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 69, 1753-1768.

Hare J.A., Morrison, W.E., Nelson, M.W., Stachura, M.M., Teeters, E.J., Griffis, R.B., et al. 2016. A Vulnerability Assessment of Fish and Invertebrates to Climate Change on the Northeast U.S. Continental Shelf. PLoS ONE 11(2): e0146756. doi:10.1371/ journal.pone.0146756.

IPCC, 2013: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P. M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 1–30, doi:10.1017/CBO9781107415324.004.

Jepson, M., Colburn L.L. 2013. Development of Social Indicators of Fishing Community Vulnerability and Resilience in theU.S. Southeast and Northeast Regions. U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA Technical Memorandum NMFS-F/SPO-129, 64 p.

Kleisner, K.M., Fogarty, M.J., McGee, S., Barnett, A., Fratantoni, P., Greene, J., Hare, J.A., Lucey, S.M., McGuire, C., Odell, J., Saba, V.S., Smith, L., Weaver, K.J., Pinsky, M.L. 2016. The effects of sub-regional climate velocity on the distribution and spatial extent of marine species assemblages. PLoS One 11(2): e0149220. 

Kristiansen, T., Stock, C., Drinkwater, K. F., and Curchitser, E. N. 2014. Mechanistic insights into the effects of climate change on larval cod. Global Change Biology, 20: 1559-1584.

Lankford, T.E. and Targett, T.E. 2001. Low-temperature tolerance of age-0 Atlantic croakers: recruitment implications for US Mid-Atlantic estuaries. Trans. Am. Fish. Soc. 130:236-249.

Lugina, K.M., et al., 2005: Monthly surface air temperature time series area-averaged over the 30-degree latitudinal belts of the globe, 1881-2004. In: Trends: A Compendium of Data on Global Change. Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, US Department of Energy, Oak Ridge, TN, http://cdiac.esd.ornl.gov/trends/temp/lugina/lugina.html.

Lynch, P.D., Nye, J.A., Hare, J.A., Stock, C.A., Alexander, M.A., Scott, J.D., Curti, K.L., and Drew, K. 2015. Projected ocean warming creates a conservation challenge for river herring populations. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 72: 374-387.

Meyer-Gutbrod, E.L. and C.H. Greene. 2014. Climate-associated regime shifts drive decadal- scale variability in recovery of North Atlantic right whale population. Oceanography, 27(3):148-153.

Mills, K.E., Pershing, A.J., Brown, C.J., Chen, Y., Chiang, F.-S., Holland, D.S., Lehuta, S., Nye, J.A., Sun, J.C., Thomas, A.C., and Wahle, R.A. 2013. Fisheries management in a changing climate: Lessons from the 2012 ocean heat wave in the Northwest Atlantic. Oceanography 26(2): 191-195.

Mountain, D. G. 2012. Labrador slope water entering the Gulf of Maine—response to the North Atlantic Oscillation, Continental Shelf Research, 47, 150-155, doi:10.1016/j.csr.2012.07.008.

Myhre, G., D. Shindell, F.-M. Bréon, W. Collins, J. Fuglestvedt, J. Huang, D. Koch, J.-F. Lamarque, D. Lee, B. Mendoza, T. Nakajima, A. Robock, G. Stephens, T. Takemura and H. Zhang, 2013: Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

Nye, J. A., Link, J. S., Hare, J. A. & Overholtz, W. J. 2009. Changing spatial distribution of fish stocks in relation to climate and population size on the Northeast United States continental shelf. Mar. Ecol. Progr. Ser. 393, 111-129.

Nye, J.A., T.M. Joyce, Y.-O. Kwon, and J.S. Link. 2011. Gulf Stream position determines spatial distribution of silver hake. Nature Commun., 2:412, doi:10.1038/ncomms1420.

Overholtz, J., Hare, J.A., Keith, C.M. 2011. Impacts of interannual environmental forcing and climate change on the distribution of Atlantic mackerel on the U.S. Northeast Continental Shelf. Marine and Coastal Fisheries: Dynamics, Management, and Ecosystem Science 3 (1), 219-232.

Palmer, M.C. et al. 2016. Comment on “Slow adaptation in the face of rapid warming leads to collapse of the Gulf of Maine cod fishery.” Science, 352(6284), 423.

Pendleton, D.E. et al. 2012. Weekly predictions of North Atlantic right whale Eubalaena glacialis habitat reveal influence of prey abundance and seasonality of habitat preferences. Endangered Species Research, 18:147-161

Pershing, A.J. et al. 2015. Slow adaptation in the face of rapid warming leads to collapse of the Gulf of Maine cod fishery. Science, 350(6262), 809-812.

Pershing, A.J., Record, N.R., Monger, B.C., Pendleton, D.E., and Woodard, L.A. 2009. Model- based estimates of Calanus finmarchicus abundance in the Gulf of Maine. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 378: 227-243

Pinsky, M.L., and Fogarty, M. 2012. Lagged social-ecological responses to climate and range shifts in fisheries. Climatic Change Letters 115 (3), 883-891.

Pinsky, M.L., Worm, B., Fogarty, M.J., Sarmiento, J.L., and Levin, S.A. 2013. Marine taxa track local climate velocities. Science 341, 1239-1242.

Saba, V.S., Griffies, S.M., Anderson, W.G., Winton, M., Alexander, M.A., Delworth, T.L., Hare, J.A., Harrison, M.J., Rosati, A., Vecchi, G.A., Zhang, R. 2016. Enhanced warming of the Northwest Atlantic Ocean under climate change. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 121(1), 118-132.

Sato, M., J.E. Hansen, M.P. McCormick, and J.B. Pollack, 1993: Stratospheric aerosol optical depths, 1850-1990. J. Geophys. Res., 98 (D12), 22987-22994.

Smith, T.M., and R.W. Reynolds, 2005: A global merged land and sea surface temperature reconstruction based on historical observations (1880-1997). J. Clim., 18, 2021-2036.

Tommasi, D., J.A. Nye, Stock, C.A., et al. 2015. Effect of Environmental Conditions on Juvenile Recruitment of Alewife (Alosa pseudoharengus) and Blueback Herring (A. aestivalis) in Freshwater: A Coastwide Perspective. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 72(7), doi:10.1139/cjfas-2014-0259.

Trenberth, K.E., P.D. Jones, P. Ambenje, R. Bojariu, D. Easterling, A. Klein Tank, D. Parker, F. Rahimzadeh, J.A. Renwick, M. Rusticucci, B. Soden and P. Zhai, 2007: Observations: Surface and Atmospheric Climate Change. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

Walsh H.J., Richardson, D.E., Marancik, K.E., Hare, J.A. 2015. Long-Term Changes in the Distributions of Larval and Adult Fish in the Northeast U.S. Shelf Ecosystem. PLoS ONE 10(9): e0137382. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0137382

Willson, R.C., and A.V. Mordvinov, 2003: Secular total solar irradiance trend during solar cycles 21-23. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(5), 3-6.

www.nefsc.noaa.gov
Search Fisheries
Link Disclaimer
webMASTER
Privacy Policy
(File Modified Dec. 11 2017)