CRD 05-15

Table 5.  Results of Estimated United States – Canada Market Model

Variable Import
Demand
(Pounds)
Import
Supply
(Pounds)
U.S.
Ex-Vessel
Price
($US/Pound)
Canadian
Ex-Vessel
Price
($US/Pound)
Intercept 8.862*
(0.442)
-3.244*
(0.716)
1.154*
(0.107)
0.030
(0.072)
Import Price -11.642*
(1.328)
3.515*
(0.666)
   
Haddock Price t-1 (US) 1.325*
(0.586)
  0.161*
(0.059)
 
Haddock Price t-1 (CA)       0.319*
(0.051)
Ex-vessel Cod Price (US) 2.120*
(0.417)
  0.162*
(0.031)
 
Landings (US) -0.276*
(0.085)
  -0.060*
(0.007)
 
Landings (CA)   1.220*
(0.088)
  -0.251*
(0.034)
Landings t-1 (CA)   0.113*
(0.048)
   
Import Quantity     -0.088*
(0.013)
0.173*
(0.035)
Alternative Processed Products Price   -0.411*
(0.165)
  0.314*
(0.036)
Time Trend 0.007*
(0.002)
     
F-Value 22.73* 150.06* 63.25* 134.24*
Adjusted R-square 0.38 0.77 0.58 0.75

*Denotes statistically significant at the 0.05 level or greater.
Figures in parentheses are standard errors.

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(Modified Jun. 13 2008)