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For most regions, seasonal production can be partitioned into
to spring and fall blooms, thus making the contrast in conditions
during these two periods important. As described previously, spring
surface water temperatures have declined in recent years from
a peak in temperature around the year 2000. In contrast, fall
temperatures appear to be continuing to increase or maintain higher
levels in the Gulf of Maine, Southern New England, and Mid-Atlantic
Bight (see figure). Despite being represented by a shorter
time series, chlorophyll concentrations have some well developed
trends as seen in the fall data where chlorophyll has declined
in recent years with exception of fall bloom in the Mid-Atlantic
Bight area. Spring bloom trends are less well developed, but the
data do suggest that most areas are either maintaining bloom levels
or increasing in chlorophyll concentration, with the exception
of the Gulf of Maine, where the spring bloom appears to be trending
downward over the past decade (see figure). The importance
of seasonal dynamics is seen in the comparison of fall and spring
zooplankton biomasses. In our prior advisory we stated that 'Regional
declines in fall zooplankton coupled with regional increases in
annual zooplankton indicate important regional dynamics affect
the shelf-wide annual patterns.' The observed increases in spring
zooplankton are apparently large enough in magnitude to cancel
the decreases in fall zooplankton and result in modest regional
increases in the annual zooplankton biomasses (see figure).
The obvious implication is that the decline in fall primary production
is affecting zooplankton populations. The continued increase in
spring zooplankton populations is not supported by a direct relationship
with chlorophyll concentration, but may be attributed to a shift
in zooplankton community structure.
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